The Bored Astronaut

Non-growth economic prosperity

October 25th, 2007 by bored

An article in the Vancouver Sun, by Craig McInnes, asks the question that seems obvious, but isn’t addressed nearly enough: “What happens if we all get climate change religion?” Specifically: what happens to the economy if we give up our lifestyle of conspicuous consumption? Because it’s consumption which drives growth, and allows everyone in the supply chain, plus the government, to take a slice.

I am not an economist, but last I checked, the central tenet of free-market capitalism is that market agents (buyers, in this case) are free to buy what they want, or, as the case may be, to not buy. Or is this just another of the real truths that arise when people contemplate actually allowing free-markets to happen? That there is in fact a moral imperative to buy, whether you want to or not? How can you say we’re “free” agents when we are compelled to behave a certain way? Why is it that free agency is only good when it’s good in the particular example being cited by whomever is espousing it? Why is it that the market it only recognized when it’s the one we’re used to, the one that supports the status quo? Who truly believes in real free markets? Last I checked, nobody.

What happens, Craig McInnes, is that the people who used to earn a living from making and selling the hallmarks of success—expensive vacations, luxury automobiles, iPods—will have to learn to earn a living making or selling something else: something that isn’t disposable, or ephemeral, or gratuitously symbolic of social status.

When people come to their senses and realize that our culture—the one of equating ownership with status—is bankrupt, we will make do with something else, and that, too, will still require the hard work of everyone.

The problem is not that people will be out of work. The problem, really, is that most people are lazy, stupid and uncreative, and as a result, they resist either learning new skills or in general in adapting to changing circumstance. Most people are glad to have a small number of people creating businesses and markets and industries: laying the groundwork and writing the rules, within which they can prosper by mostly just doing what they are told.

The real question is not what will people do when their company closes down because it’s been made obsolete. The real question is whether there will be any people with the stones to see the opportunities inherent in such a cultural sea change, and whether they those few entrepreneurs will be able to find busy work the vast armies of drones who fill up most of the space in our cities and towns.

If we freed up fifty or seventy five percent of the work force, what would you want them to do with their time, assuming you wouldn’t vote to just let them starve to death?

Maybe we could return to the days of buildings things of quality, beauty and craftsmanship. The problem there is that those kinds of things are too expensive to be commissioned by any except a small group of individuals and businesses (and it’s really not the place of businesses, as we know them, to spend profits by donating them back to their society, more’s the pity). Instead, it would take consortiums of individuals, in the form of non-profit organizations, to do this. I mean, all this money that’s not being spent on gadgets and frippery has to go somewhere. Why not beautify our cities? That would employ many people. Or provide free education?

The possibilities are limited only by the rust which has frozen your imagination, Mr. McInnes.

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WEAP essay

October 20th, 2007 by bored

World Energy and Population, that is. By Paul Chefurka.

What intrigues me about energy use per capita, as with most economic analyses, is the apparently necessary assumption that we buy things with “money”, and that “money” is somehow a real good with intrinsic value. But, of course, it is not. Any currency can be devalued at any time, if the economic entity (country) which underwrites its value becomes drastically less capable of honouring the original evaluation of its currency. So how does a country underwrite its currency? Through its ability to convert raw materials into useful stuff that keeps people alive, secure and happy.

Discussions of energy treat various energy “sources” as though they are goods. To a certain extent they are, however their value is dependent on industrial capacity to extract energy from these sources and convert it to some form of work, typically in the form of machines. Before the industrial revolution, the only ways to procure energy from an energy source were a) to eat it (or feed it to a work animal), and, b) to burn it. To this day, most non-renewable energy sources provide their energy by combustion. Hydro-electric dams and other sources are exceptions. Even eating is akin burning, in that it is ultimately a chemical reaction.

The kind of complex work human beings do in advanced industrialized countries is to find new and novel ways to combine raw materials, including structural and fuel materials, into useful tools and goods like buildings, clothing, cars, books, computers and such. We work with our hands and our minds to do this work.

Money, then, does not represent the goods which we produce, but the capacity to produce them. Money, therefore, is just a means to represent energy, including the energy needed to train people in the knowledge of how to run complex industrial and information economies. That is, the energy is the money, or at least part of it: energy is currency, in its natural form. So if you don’t have energy, you can’t buy it—in fact, to talk of buying energy is in some sense ridiculous. As the saying goes, it takes energy to make energy.

Another interesting thing about energy, if you know any physics, is that it can’t be created nor destroyed, but only moved around. Generally, it is the dispersal of high concentrations of captured energy, such as the energy inherent in chemical bonds formed over aeons getting dispersed, ultimately, into heat and noise in engines, which is important, not the energy itself. That dispersal process, which is going on all the time, anyway, we merely harness in order to direct a portion of it in some useful direction, like turning wheels or stimulating electrons, instead of just rotting or breaking down in some other manner, like getting trapped in bogs or at the bottom of the sea. And the real trick is that the dispersal has to happen quickly, in the scale of seconds, instead of the usual days, months, years or what-have-you for most natural chemical processes.

What we’re really looking for, then is an idea for a new process that will allow us to do what happens naturally—the conversion of raw materials into interesting things like life forms and refrigerators through the capture and absorption of solar energy—and make it happen more quickly, by focussing it, either mechanically or chemically or biologically. But more importantly, we need to be able to capture more solar energy per unit time. The energy is there. It’s just not in a form that we can exploit easily. We know how, but we just aren’t making the investment, because it would mean sacrificing things like blockbuster movies, advertorials, pet toys, pornography, SUVs, iPods, and all the other useless junk we mistaken consider so important because it gives us a synthetic sense of our own importance. And we’re going to learn this the hard way in the next few decades; self-deception is only self-destructive in the long term.

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South Park B

October 14th, 2007 by bored

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2007-10-14

October 14th, 2007 by bored

Moved into a new place, with Kim, beginning of the month. Can’t remember if I said anything about that. (I don’t journalize. Though sometimes I summarize. And frequently tangentialize. And make up words.) The bored one grows up. Or something like that. Nice place. Good location. Spacious. Quiet. Room for dinner parties. Maybe have the boss over some time. Oh, boy, I’m middle class. Wasn’t I supposed to be different? Make a difference? Change the world? Does anybody change the world? Does the world change? Does it ever stop changing? Do I ever stop asking rhetorical questions?

When you read this, you have to read slowly. Leave long pauses between sentences. Or you won’t hear what I’m saying. It’s true: I speak the words in my head as I write them. I’m an orator, a speech writer. The sound is important. The delivery is important. You have to hear the words. If you read them, and don’t hear, them, you won’t understand them. You will not discern the import amidst the vacuous.

I think that some people are born paying close attention, while others, though sure that they are focussed, are in fact oblivious to the important things: to what’s going on around them. To their surroundings. To their context.

Moreover, I’m sure that there are different kinds of people in the world. That is, there are different kinds of minds, even brains. That, perhaps, the brain, as a complex organ and information processing—nay, a signal processing—machine, is composed of different components, or sections, and that the relative dominance of these vary from person to person.

I’m not saying that people are fixed in who they are. I don’t buy into that. But there are limits of some kind to what we can become, based on the patterns we make in response to our experiences. People can change, but only within the boundaries of their ability to observe, to interpret, and to understand what goes on around them. If you can’t see in the dark, then you can’t avoid the chair placed in your path.

I’ve met perfectly good atheists who nevertheless believe in something or other that they’re too self-deceived to admit to themselves is God. Love. Family. Truth. Justice. Pleasure. They seek the holy, the sacrosanct, and the spiritually transcendent experience as avidly, as desperately, as any religious believer. They may mock the facts of faith held by others, but they have the same sacred cows. If you need it, you’ll find it, somewhere, in the pattern-making pathways of your brain. So, in that way, I think we’re all alike. It’s an indelible part of the human condition to seek an answer to a question. We just all phrase the question differently, and in large part, if not wholly, it is shaped to fit the unique character of our self. We all believe in something. And it’s all our own invention.

There’s a great DVD store near my new place. Within a good walk’s distance, just off Eglinton, West of Yonge Street. I spent an hour in there on Friday after work (at home), soaking in their exceptional collection. Movies are, to me, part of the answer to whatever the question is for me. Books and computers, too. And lots of things, but mostly, those things. I love the way that the questions posed by others come out of these things, through their answers—in the form of their actions. I love what they reveal, and the promise they offer of what more there is to learn. Understanding. Interpretation. Experience. First or second hand, in stories: in histories and fictions.

So many people. So many viewpoints. Not quite so many viewpoints as people, it seems sometimes. But then, how many people give their real point of view, honestly and transparently? That’s not exactly encouraged. Not amongst that species we know as the middle class. But every stereotype is the same: they all have their official line. They all have their list of goods and evils and their list of acceptable topics about which it’s allowed to argue. And everybody strays a bit, in their way. We conform, and we rebel; the pathways of our minds don’t all follow the ones agreed upon by the majority to be the right ones. And the majority view changes.

What’s right, what’s wrong; what’s good, what’s bad; what’s real, what’s imaginary; what’s true, what’s false; what’s sacred, what’s degenerate; what’s just; what’s unfair. No two people agree on everything. Why not? It’s like we’re this vast experiment, but the whole world’s the lab. It’s random, but it’s statistical. We choose, but we’re predictable, nine time out of ten with a five percent margin of error.

It’s just crazy.

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